| Jamie Dupree |
The Writing That's Still On The Wall
Hillary Clinton continued on the campaign trail this weekend, even as stories appeared in major newspapers that made clear she is not going to be the Democratic nominee.
"Rival Camps Plan Inevitable Merger," read the headline in The Washington Post on Sunday night.
"Clinton, Obama Supporters Discuss Combined Effort to Win in November," was the sub-head, as the story said that top fundraisers for both camps have started private talks to merge their teams for November.
In other words, everyone knows who is going to win, but we still need to flesh out whether the Clintonistas can gain a meaningful foothold in the Obama organization.
Clinton's schedule over the weekend told the tale of where she thinks she will do well, as she's been in Kentucky doing multiple events and will continue with another full day there on Monday.
The latest poll from the Bluegrass State had Clinton up 36 points, with the average of polls on the Real Clear Politics site giving her a 30 point advantage.
As for Oregon, the last two public polls have been at the polar opposites of the Obama-Clinton race, with the latest showing Obama only ahead by five points and one that him up twenty.
The five point poll was done by American Research Group, which had an interesting look at their poll numbers from the Beaver State:
"Clinton and Obama are tied at 49% each among voters saying they have returned their ballots (58% of likely Democratic primary voters) and Obama leads 52% to 40% among voters saying they will definitely return their ballots by May 20th," read the ARG explainer.
Remember, Oregon is a mail-in ballot state, so you have to have your ballot postmarked by Tuesday. I'm not sure what that does in terms of vote counting issues, but we'll certainly learn that during campaign coverage on Tuesday night.
I have to say that I find it hard to believe that Obama is only up five in Oregon, but then again, it's a state that John Kerry only won narrowly in 2004, with 52% of the vote.
As for the superdelegate numbers, as far as I can tell, only one superdelegate announced over the weekend and that went to Obama.
What an odd race that has been. And it still has two weeks of shadow boxing left, including a victory rally tomorrow night in Iowa by Obama.
Note to my news directors who discarded my stories and reported with great gusto that Obama was having a rally on the night of the 20th in Chicago, I guess that didn't turn out to be right, eh?
"Clinton, Obama Supporters Discuss Combined Effort to Win in November," was the sub-head, as the story said that top fundraisers for both camps have started private talks to merge their teams for November.
In other words, everyone knows who is going to win, but we still need to flesh out whether the Clintonistas can gain a meaningful foothold in the Obama organization.
Clinton's schedule over the weekend told the tale of where she thinks she will do well, as she's been in Kentucky doing multiple events and will continue with another full day there on Monday.
The latest poll from the Bluegrass State had Clinton up 36 points, with the average of polls on the Real Clear Politics site giving her a 30 point advantage.
As for Oregon, the last two public polls have been at the polar opposites of the Obama-Clinton race, with the latest showing Obama only ahead by five points and one that him up twenty.
The five point poll was done by American Research Group, which had an interesting look at their poll numbers from the Beaver State:
"Clinton and Obama are tied at 49% each among voters saying they have returned their ballots (58% of likely Democratic primary voters) and Obama leads 52% to 40% among voters saying they will definitely return their ballots by May 20th," read the ARG explainer.
Remember, Oregon is a mail-in ballot state, so you have to have your ballot postmarked by Tuesday. I'm not sure what that does in terms of vote counting issues, but we'll certainly learn that during campaign coverage on Tuesday night.
I have to say that I find it hard to believe that Obama is only up five in Oregon, but then again, it's a state that John Kerry only won narrowly in 2004, with 52% of the vote.
As for the superdelegate numbers, as far as I can tell, only one superdelegate announced over the weekend and that went to Obama.
What an odd race that has been. And it still has two weeks of shadow boxing left, including a victory rally tomorrow night in Iowa by Obama.
Note to my news directors who discarded my stories and reported with great gusto that Obama was having a rally on the night of the 20th in Chicago, I guess that didn't turn out to be right, eh?
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